No change in repo rate, GDP projected at 6.5% for FY24 (Ld)

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The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Thursday unanimously decided not to revise the repo rate, the central bank’s Governor Shaktikanta Das announced.

The MPC decided to keep the repo rate — the rate at which RBI lends to the banks — at 6.5 percent taking into account the macroeconomic conditions.

In the same vein, the RBI Governor added the war against inflation to continue till the decline in the inflation rate is closer to the target — 4 percent.

“We are on the right track to bring down the inflation rate,” Das said, adding that the MPC will not hesitate to take further action to fight inflation.

The Indian inflation rate is 6.4 percent as per February 2023 data. According to him for FY24 the inflation rate is predicted at 5.2 percent with Q1 5.1 percent, Q2 5.4 percent, Q3 5.4 percent, and Q4 5.2 percent.

On economic growth, Das said the gross domestic product (GDP) for FY23 was 7 percent.

For FY24, the GDP growth is expected at 6.5 percent with Q1 5.1 percent, Q2 5.4 percent, Q3 5.4 percent, and Q4 5.2 percent.

Das said the risks are evenly balanced for both inflation and GDP growth projections.

The decision to keep the repo rate unchanged has taken the market by surprise as the majority predicted a hike of 25 bps.

However, it was only the State Bank of India economists who had predicted that the RBI may not hike the repo rate.

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